Model line
TCU −8.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
TCU 80%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
TCU home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes TCU a 8.0-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCF offense vs TCU defense
| UCF O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
TCU offense vs UCF defense
| TCU O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
