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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Arizona St. · #68 · B12 · 0–0Oklahoma St. · #52 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Mar 6 · 5:00 PM ETPeacockGallagher-Iba Arena · Stillwater, OK
Model line
Oklahoma St. −10.1
Win probability
Oklahoma St. 86%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Oklahoma St. home
14%Win probability86%

The model makes Oklahoma St. a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Arizona St. offense vs Oklahoma St. defense

Arizona St. OStatOklahoma St. D
70.6#69Tempo#674.1
51.1#188eFG%#26652.9
17.1#206TOV%#23415.8
29.8#206ORB%#17530.2
39.5#67FT rate#10131.8
9.6#194Block%#3067.1
53.0#165Assist%#30357.3
51.7#1802P%#22352.6
33.4#1983P%#28335.5
75.3#70FT%—
38.4#2013PA rate#6443.2

Oklahoma St. offense vs Arizona St. defense

Oklahoma St. OStatArizona St. D
74.1#6Tempo#6970.6
52.2#141eFG%#23452.4
15.8#122TOV%#7018.5
31.0#164ORB%#33634.9
39.7#62FT rate#15834.3
10.5#275Block%#2812.8
50.9#221Assist%#26355.4
52.8#1362P%#21352.3
34.0#1723P%#24335.0
74.9#86FT%—
35.6#2563PA rate#14940.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Arizona St.

Wed, Mar 11NIowa St.6L 42–91
Tue, Mar 10NBaylor32W 83–79
Sat, Mar 7AIowa St.6L 65–86
Tue, Mar 3HKansas8W 70–60
Sat, Feb 28HUtah88W 73–60

Oklahoma St.

Sun, Mar 22HWichita St.80L 70–96
Tue, Mar 17HDavidson121W 84–80
Wed, Mar 11NTCU50L 88–95
Tue, Mar 10NColorado87W 92–83
Sat, Mar 7HHouston4L 75–82