Model line
UCF −12.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 90%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
UCF home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes UCF a 12.1-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kansas St. offense vs UCF defense
| Kansas St. O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8#7 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 53.3#89 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 17.4#228 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 29.2#229 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 26.9#352 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 11.0#301 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 57.7#61 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 52.4#152 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 36.4#43 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 71.0#236 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#147 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Kansas St. defense
| UCF O | Stat | Kansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #773.8 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #24052.5 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #13917.1 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #31733.9 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #18535.2 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #1869.1 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #29556.5 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #26153.7 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #16633.7 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #21338.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kansas St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | BYU28 | L 91–105 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kansas8 | L 85–104 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | West Virginia51 | W 65–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | TCU50 | L 68–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colorado87 | L 70–79 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
