Model line
Cincinnati −2.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati 59%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes Cincinnati a 2.2-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Houston O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs Houston defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
