Model line
Arizona St. −3.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 64%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
37%Win probability64%
The model makes Arizona St. a 3.3-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Baylor offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Baylor O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs Baylor defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
