Model line
Iowa St. −13.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 92%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Iowa St. a 13.6-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
TCU offense vs Iowa St. defense
| TCU O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs TCU defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
