Model line
UCF −0.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 54%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
UCF home
46%Win probability54%
The model makes UCF a 0.9-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
BYU offense vs UCF defense
| BYU O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#183 | Tempo | #15669.7 |
| 64.0#21 | eFG% | #16554.7 |
| 11.8#20 | TOV% | #15016.6 |
| 32.3#103 | ORB% | #17836.4 |
| 47.4#53 | FT rate | #16142.2 |
| 9.1#117 | Block% | #3916.1 |
| 38.7#214 | Assist% | #16058.6 |
| 60.6#64 | 2P% | #14554.8 |
| 45.8#22 | 3P% | #16236.4 |
| 77.8#48 | FT% | — |
| 42.1#107 | 3PA rate | #4051.6 |
UCF offense vs BYU defense
| UCF O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#156 | Tempo | #18367.9 |
| 61.2#34 | eFG% | #18457.0 |
| 11.5#18 | TOV% | #12717.7 |
| 19.4#224 | ORB% | #14833.3 |
| 65.5#12 | FT rate | #10133.3 |
| 2.5#20 | Block% | #2350.0 |
| 51.6#141 | Assist% | #18164.3 |
| 55.0#97 | 2P% | #21365.5 |
| 50.0#14 | 3P% | #12632.1 |
| 65.8#145 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#212 | 3PA rate | #4549.1 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
BYU
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Ohio St.35 | W 94–83 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas6 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia32 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.99 | W 105–91 |
UCF
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Florida Gulf Coast245 | W 96–95 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA13 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona16 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati25 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia32 | L 62–77 |
