Model line
Arizona −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 89%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Arizona home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Arizona a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Baylor offense vs Arizona defense
| Baylor O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Baylor defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
