Model line
Colorado −5.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Colorado 72%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Colorado home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Colorado a 5.7-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona St. offense vs Colorado defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #9070.1 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #26052.9 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #25815.4 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #14829.8 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #21836.3 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #2068.8 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #14451.0 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #17251.6 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #33936.8 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #29435.8 |
Colorado offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Colorado O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#90 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 53.2#92 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 14.5#41 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 29.0#236 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 35.8#161 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 8.8#133 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 55.7#95 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 53.3#115 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 35.3#98 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 75.7#60 | FT% | — |
| 35.1#273 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona St.
Colorado
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 86–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | L 83–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arizona5 | L 79–89 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Utah88 | W 92–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston4 | L 62–102 |
