Model line
Texas Tech −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas Tech 62%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Kansas St. home
62%Win probability38%
The model makes Texas Tech a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas Tech offense vs Kansas St. defense
| Texas Tech O | Stat | Kansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#206 | Tempo | #773.8 |
| 56.7#13 | eFG% | #24052.5 |
| 15.8#126 | TOV% | #13917.1 |
| 33.3#84 | ORB% | #31733.9 |
| 27.3#350 | FT rate | #18535.2 |
| 7.4#26 | Block% | #1869.1 |
| 55.3#107 | Assist% | #29556.5 |
| 54.1#83 | 2P% | #26153.7 |
| 39.7#3 | 3P% | #16633.7 |
| 71.2#232 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#26 | 3PA rate | #21338.6 |
Kansas St. offense vs Texas Tech defense
| Kansas St. O | Stat | Texas Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8#7 | Tempo | #20667.9 |
| 53.3#89 | eFG% | #8049.4 |
| 17.4#228 | TOV% | #31014.7 |
| 29.2#229 | ORB% | #16730.1 |
| 26.9#352 | FT rate | #9931.7 |
| 11.0#301 | Block% | #1639.6 |
| 57.7#61 | Assist% | #641.7 |
| 52.4#152 | 2P% | #12550.7 |
| 36.4#43 | 3P% | #4231.3 |
| 71.0#236 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#147 | 3PA rate | #31935.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas Tech
Kansas St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | BYU28 | L 91–105 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kansas8 | L 85–104 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | West Virginia51 | W 65–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | TCU50 | L 68–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colorado87 | L 70–79 |
