HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UCF · #58 · B12 · 0–0Oklahoma St. · #52 · B12 · 0–0Wed, Feb 24 · 8:30 PM ETCBSSNGallagher-Iba Arena · Stillwater, OK
Model line
Oklahoma St. −7.7
Win probability
Oklahoma St. 79%
Projected tempo
72.9
possessions
Site
Oklahoma St. home
21%Win probability79%

The model makes Oklahoma St. a 7.7-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UCF offense vs Oklahoma St. defense

UCF OStatOklahoma St. D
70.6#75Tempo#674.1
52.6#124eFG%#26652.9
16.0#143TOV%#23415.8
35.0#48ORB%#17530.2
30.5#299FT rate#10131.8
9.4#181Block%#3067.1
53.7#144Assist%#30357.3
51.7#1852P%#22352.6
36.2#503P%#28335.5
72.9#173FT%—
34.8#2803PA rate#6443.2

Oklahoma St. offense vs UCF defense

Oklahoma St. OStatUCF D
74.1#6Tempo#7570.6
52.2#141eFG%#22152.1
15.8#122TOV%#24215.7
31.0#164ORB%#9728.8
39.7#62FT rate#17734.9
10.5#275Block%#2578.1
50.9#221Assist%#14651.0
52.8#1362P%#23752.9
34.0#1723P%#17933.9
74.9#86FT%—
35.6#2563PA rate#18839.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UCF

Fri, Mar 20NUCLA18L 71–75
Thu, Mar 12NArizona5L 59–81
Wed, Mar 11NCincinnati30W 66–65
Fri, Mar 6AWest Virginia51L 62–77
Tue, Mar 3HOklahoma St.52L 104–111

Oklahoma St.

Sun, Mar 22HWichita St.80L 70–96
Tue, Mar 17HDavidson121W 84–80
Wed, Mar 11NTCU50L 88–95
Tue, Mar 10NColorado87W 92–83
Sat, Mar 7HHouston4L 75–82