Model line
Baylor −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Baylor 64%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Baylor home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Baylor a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa St. offense vs Baylor defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Baylor offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Baylor O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
