Model line
UCF −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 62%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
UCF home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes UCF a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas Tech offense vs UCF defense
| Texas Tech O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#206 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 56.7#13 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 15.8#126 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 33.3#84 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 27.3#350 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 7.4#26 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 55.3#107 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 54.1#83 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 39.7#3 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 71.2#232 | FT% | — |
| 47.8#26 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Texas Tech defense
| UCF O | Stat | Texas Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #20667.9 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #8049.4 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #31014.7 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #16730.1 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #9931.7 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #1639.6 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #641.7 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #12550.7 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #4231.3 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #31935.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas Tech
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
