Model line
BYU −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
BYU 86%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
BYU home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes BYU a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
TCU offense vs BYU defense
| TCU O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
BYU offense vs TCU defense
| BYU O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
