Model line
Cincinnati −18.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati 97%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Cincinnati a 18.4-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kansas St. offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Kansas St. O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8#7 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 53.3#89 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 17.4#228 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 29.2#229 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 26.9#352 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 11.0#301 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 57.7#61 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 52.4#152 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 36.4#43 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 71.0#236 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#147 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs Kansas St. defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Kansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #773.8 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #24052.5 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #13917.1 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #31733.9 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #18535.2 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #1869.1 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #29556.5 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #26153.7 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #16633.7 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #21338.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kansas St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | BYU28 | L 91–105 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kansas8 | L 85–104 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | West Virginia51 | W 65–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | TCU50 | L 68–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colorado87 | L 70–79 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
