Model line
Iowa St. −1.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 54%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
54%Win probability46%
The model makes Iowa St. a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa St. offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
