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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Utah · #88 · B12 · 0–0TCU · #50 · B12 · 0–0Tue, Feb 16 · 8:00 PM ETSchollmaier Arena · Fort Worth, TX
Model line
TCU −11.2
Win probability
TCU 88%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
TCU home
12%Win probability88%

The model makes TCU a 11.2-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Utah offense vs TCU defense

Utah OStatTCU D
68.0#201Tempo#12369.4
52.0#150eFG%#17351.2
16.7#181TOV%#3219.6
29.3#227ORB%#11529.1
31.7#263FT rate#7430.5
12.0#343Block%#3712.6
51.7#197Assist%#35061.4
51.5#1952P%#18551.8
35.3#1023P%#15733.5
73.8#144FT%—
37.5#2223PA rate#22338.3

TCU offense vs Utah defense

TCU OStatUtah D
69.4#123Tempo#20168.0
50.4#222eFG%#29853.9
15.3#90TOV%#34913.3
34.0#67ORB%#23631.6
37.5#115FT rate#5729.9
9.8#226Block%#2418.4
57.3#66Assist%#7248.2
50.8#2222P%#30254.6
33.2#2193P%#25435.1
70.4#258FT%—
36.8#2343PA rate#33733.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Utah

Tue, Mar 10NCincinnati30L 66–73
Sat, Mar 7ABaylor32L 75–101
Tue, Mar 3HColorado87L 78–92
Sat, Feb 28AArizona St.68L 60–73
Tue, Feb 24HIowa St.6L 59–75

TCU

Sat, Mar 21NDuke1L 58–81
Thu, Mar 19NOhio St.26W 66–64
Thu, Mar 12NKansas8L 73–78
Wed, Mar 11NOklahoma St.52W 95–88
Sat, Mar 7HCincinnati30W 73–63