Model line
Iowa St. −11.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 89%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
12%Win probability89%
The model makes Iowa St. a 11.4-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cincinnati offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
