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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UCF · #58 · B12 · 0–0West Virginia · #51 · B12 · 0–0Tue, Feb 16 · 7:00 PM ETTNTHope Coliseum · Morgantown, WV
Model line
West Virginia −8.7
Win probability
West Virginia 82%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
West Virginia home
18%Win probability82%

The model makes West Virginia a 8.7-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UCF offense vs West Virginia defense

UCF OStatWest Virginia D
70.6#75Tempo#35664.0
52.6#124eFG%#4648.3
16.0#143TOV%#9518.1
35.0#48ORB%#10529.0
30.5#299FT rate#4829.2
9.4#181Block%#2218.6
53.7#144Assist%#25655.1
51.7#1852P%#1145.7
36.2#503P%#24735.0
72.9#173FT%—
34.8#2803PA rate#23138.1

West Virginia offense vs UCF defense

West Virginia OStatUCF D
64.0#356Tempo#7570.6
51.1#192eFG%#22152.1
17.5#239TOV%#24215.7
31.0#168ORB%#9728.8
35.5#167FT rate#17734.9
11.2#319Block%#2578.1
53.2#162Assist%#14651.0
52.5#1492P%#23752.9
32.8#2423P%#17933.9
67.7#331FT%—
42.9#1173PA rate#18839.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UCF

Fri, Mar 20NUCLA18L 71–75
Thu, Mar 12NArizona5L 59–81
Wed, Mar 11NCincinnati30W 66–65
Fri, Mar 6AWest Virginia51L 62–77
Tue, Mar 3HOklahoma St.52L 104–111

West Virginia

Sun, Apr 5NOklahoma22W 89–82
Sat, Apr 4NCreighton36W 87–70
Thu, Apr 2NStanford81W 82–77
Wed, Mar 11NBYU28L 48–68
Fri, Mar 6HUCF58W 77–62