Model line
Kansas St. −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kansas St. 68%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Kansas St. home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Kansas St. a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona St. offense vs Kansas St. defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Kansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #773.8 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #24052.5 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #13917.1 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #31733.9 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #18535.2 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #1869.1 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #29556.5 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #26153.7 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #16633.7 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #21338.6 |
Kansas St. offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Kansas St. O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8#7 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 53.3#89 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 17.4#228 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 29.2#229 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 26.9#352 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 11.0#301 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 57.7#61 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 52.4#152 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 36.4#43 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 71.0#236 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#147 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona St.
Kansas St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | BYU28 | L 91–105 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kansas8 | L 85–104 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | West Virginia51 | W 65–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | TCU50 | L 68–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colorado87 | L 70–79 |
