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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Utah · #88 · B12 · 0–0Houston · #4 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Feb 13 · 4:00 PM ETESPN2Fertitta Center · Houston, TX
Model line
Houston −19.8
Win probability
Houston 98%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Houston home
2%Win probability98%

The model makes Houston a 19.8-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Utah offense vs Houston defense

Utah OStatHouston D
68.0#201Tempo#33264.9
52.0#150eFG%#1246.0
16.7#181TOV%#1320.7
29.3#227ORB%#17230.2
31.7#263FT rate#27738.6
12.0#343Block%#3512.6
51.7#197Assist%#21253.4
51.5#1952P%#945.2
35.3#1023P%#4531.4
73.8#144FT%—
37.5#2223PA rate#11341.4

Houston offense vs Utah defense

Houston OStatUtah D
64.9#332Tempo#20168.0
52.2#138eFG%#29853.9
12.9#5TOV%#34913.3
36.0#26ORB%#23631.6
27.0#351FT rate#5729.9
6.3#6Block%#2418.4
52.0#192Assist%#7248.2
52.0#1672P%#30254.6
34.9#1263P%#25435.1
77.2#29FT%—
40.5#1563PA rate#33733.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Utah

Tue, Mar 10NCincinnati30L 66–73
Sat, Mar 7ABaylor32L 75–101
Tue, Mar 3HColorado87L 78–92
Sat, Feb 28AArizona St.68L 60–73
Tue, Feb 24HIowa St.6L 59–75

Houston

Thu, Mar 26NIllinois7L 55–65
Sat, Mar 21NTexas A&M33W 88–57
Thu, Mar 19NIdaho238W 78–47
Sat, Mar 14NArizona5L 74–79
Fri, Mar 13NKansas8W 69–47