Model line
Iowa St. −6.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 77%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Iowa St. a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kansas offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Kansas O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#186 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 51.3#182 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 15.4#98 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 29.3#225 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 32.2#255 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 8.2#70 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 52.7#170 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 51.0#212 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 34.6#142 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 76.9#35 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#259 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Kansas defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Kansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #18668.3 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #245.1 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #33913.9 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #16330.1 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #3027.7 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #715.3 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #5347.3 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #344.5 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #2230.5 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #10841.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kansas
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | St. John's25 | L 65–67 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Cal Baptist216 | W 68–60 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Houston4 | L 47–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | TCU50 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kansas St.96 | W 104–85 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
