Model line
Cincinnati −10.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati 87%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Cincinnati a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCF offense vs Cincinnati defense
| UCF O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs UCF defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
