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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Iowa St. · #6 · B12 · 0–0Oklahoma St. · #52 · B12 · 0–0Wed, Feb 10 · 9:00 PM ETGallagher-Iba Arena · Stillwater, OK
Model line
Oklahoma St. −1.7
Win probability
Oklahoma St. 57%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Oklahoma St. home
43%Win probability57%

The model makes Oklahoma St. a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Iowa St. offense vs Oklahoma St. defense

Iowa St. OStatOklahoma St. D
68.5#172Tempo#674.1
56.6#15eFG%#26652.9
15.0#61TOV%#23415.8
35.8#32ORB%#17530.2
34.1#204FT rate#10131.8
9.9#230Block%#3067.1
58.6#48Assist%#30357.3
55.5#492P%#22352.6
38.9#63P%#28335.5
67.6#332FT%—
38.6#1993PA rate#6443.2

Oklahoma St. offense vs Iowa St. defense

Oklahoma St. OStatIowa St. D
74.1#6Tempo#17268.5
52.2#141eFG%#7849.4
15.8#122TOV%#422.3
31.0#164ORB%#7428.2
39.7#62FT rate#3327.9
10.5#275Block%#2118.7
50.9#221Assist%#23654.4
52.8#1362P%#12150.6
34.0#1723P%#6131.9
74.9#86FT%—
35.6#2563PA rate#8742.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Iowa St.

Fri, Mar 27NTennessee11L 62–76
Sun, Mar 22NKentucky20W 82–63
Fri, Mar 20NTennessee St.204W 108–74
Fri, Mar 13NArizona5L 80–82
Thu, Mar 12NTexas Tech12W 75–53

Oklahoma St.

Sun, Mar 22HWichita St.80L 70–96
Tue, Mar 17HDavidson121W 84–80
Wed, Mar 11NTCU50L 88–95
Tue, Mar 10NColorado87W 92–83
Sat, Mar 7HHouston4L 75–82