Model line
Houston −0.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 51%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
UCF home
51%Win probability49%
The model makes Houston a 0.2-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs UCF defense
| Houston O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Houston defense
| UCF O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
