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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cincinnati · #30 · B12 · 0–0Baylor · #32 · B12 · 0–0Tue, Feb 9 · 9:00 PM ETTNTFoster Pavilion · Waco, TX
Model line
Baylor −6.6
Win probability
Baylor 76%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Baylor home
25%Win probability76%

The model makes Baylor a 6.6-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cincinnati offense vs Baylor defense

Cincinnati OStatBaylor D
69.2#130Tempo#10969.6
50.5#213eFG%#23852.5
17.0#198TOV%#21716.1
30.6#176ORB%#26732.2
29.4#323FT rate#6130.2
6.8#15Block%#1549.7
63.7#10Assist%#7348.3
50.2#2482P%#20352.2
33.9#1793P%#27835.5
68.1#321FT%—
43.8#943PA rate#32334.7

Baylor offense vs Cincinnati defense

Baylor OStatCincinnati D
69.6#109Tempo#13069.2
53.8#72eFG%#2647.3
16.5#161TOV%#8818.2
37.5#12ORB%#4527.3
34.8#187FT rate#5830.0
8.8#129Block%#4712.1
53.3#156Assist%#23954.5
55.2#532P%#4147.9
34.5#1473P%#3531.0
73.3#158FT%—
39.6#1803PA rate#16439.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cincinnati

Wed, Mar 11NUCF58L 65–66
Tue, Mar 10NUtah88W 73–66
Sat, Mar 7ATCU50L 63–73
Tue, Mar 3HBYU28W 90–68
Sat, Feb 28HOklahoma St.52W 91–68

Baylor

Sat, Apr 4NOklahoma22L 69–82
Wed, Apr 1NMinnesota63W 67–48
Tue, Mar 10NArizona St.68L 79–83
Sat, Mar 7HUtah88W 101–75
Wed, Mar 4AHouston4L 64–77