Model line
Kansas −16.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kansas 96%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Kansas home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Kansas a 16.4-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona St. offense vs Kansas defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Kansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #18668.3 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #245.1 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #33913.9 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #16330.1 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #3027.7 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #715.3 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #5347.3 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #344.5 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #2230.5 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #10841.5 |
Kansas offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Kansas O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#186 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 51.3#182 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 15.4#98 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 29.3#225 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 32.2#255 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 8.2#70 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 52.7#170 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 51.0#212 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 34.6#142 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 76.9#35 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#259 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona St.
Kansas
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | St. John's25 | L 65–67 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Cal Baptist216 | W 68–60 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Houston4 | L 47–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | TCU50 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kansas St.96 | W 104–85 |
