Model line
Arizona St. −4.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 67%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes Arizona St. a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
TCU offense vs Arizona St. defense
| TCU O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs TCU defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
