Model line
Arizona −6.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 74%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Arizona home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Arizona a 6.2-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs Arizona defense
| Houston O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Houston defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
