Model line
UCF −7.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 77%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
UCF home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes UCF a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
West Virginia offense vs UCF defense
| West Virginia O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0#356 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 51.1#192 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 17.5#239 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 31.0#168 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 35.5#167 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 11.2#319 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 53.2#162 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 52.5#149 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 32.8#242 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 67.7#331 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#117 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs West Virginia defense
| UCF O | Stat | West Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #35664.0 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #4648.3 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #9518.1 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #10529.0 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #4829.2 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #2218.6 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #25655.1 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #1145.7 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #24735.0 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #23138.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
West Virginia
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Oklahoma22 | W 89–82 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Creighton36 | W 87–70 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Stanford81 | W 82–77 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | BYU28 | L 48–68 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UCF58 | W 77–62 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
