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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Utah · #88 · B12 · 0–0Iowa St. · #6 · B12 · 0–0Tue, Feb 2 · 9:30 PM ETTNTHilton Coliseum · Ames, IA
Model line
Iowa St. −18.6
Win probability
Iowa St. 98%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
3%Win probability98%

The model makes Iowa St. a 18.6-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Utah offense vs Iowa St. defense

Utah OStatIowa St. D
68.0#201Tempo#17268.5
52.0#150eFG%#7849.4
16.7#181TOV%#422.3
29.3#227ORB%#7428.2
31.7#263FT rate#3327.9
12.0#343Block%#2118.7
51.7#197Assist%#23654.4
51.5#1952P%#12150.6
35.3#1023P%#6131.9
73.8#144FT%—
37.5#2223PA rate#8742.4

Iowa St. offense vs Utah defense

Iowa St. OStatUtah D
68.5#172Tempo#20168.0
56.6#15eFG%#29853.9
15.0#61TOV%#34913.3
35.8#32ORB%#23631.6
34.1#204FT rate#5729.9
9.9#230Block%#2418.4
58.6#48Assist%#7248.2
55.5#492P%#30254.6
38.9#63P%#25435.1
67.6#332FT%—
38.6#1993PA rate#33733.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Utah

Tue, Mar 10NCincinnati30L 66–73
Sat, Mar 7ABaylor32L 75–101
Tue, Mar 3HColorado87L 78–92
Sat, Feb 28AArizona St.68L 60–73
Tue, Feb 24HIowa St.6L 59–75

Iowa St.

Fri, Mar 27NTennessee11L 62–76
Sun, Mar 22NKentucky20W 82–63
Fri, Mar 20NTennessee St.204W 108–74
Fri, Mar 13NArizona5L 80–82
Thu, Mar 12NTexas Tech12W 75–53