Model line
Cincinnati −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati 62%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Cincinnati a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs Arizona defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
