Model line
Iowa St. −20.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 99%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
2%Win probability99%
The model makes Iowa St. a 20.7-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kansas St. offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Kansas St. O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8#7 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 53.3#89 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 17.4#228 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 29.2#229 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 26.9#352 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 11.0#301 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 57.7#61 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 52.4#152 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 36.4#43 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 71.0#236 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#147 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Kansas St. defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Kansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #773.8 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #24052.5 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #13917.1 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #31733.9 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #18535.2 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #1869.1 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #29556.5 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #26153.7 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #16633.7 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #21338.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kansas St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | BYU28 | L 91–105 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kansas8 | L 85–104 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | West Virginia51 | W 65–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | TCU50 | L 68–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colorado87 | L 70–79 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
