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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UCF · #58 · B12 · 0–0Texas Tech · #12 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 30 · 4:00 PM ETUnited Supermarkets Arena · Lubbock, TX
Model line
Texas Tech −14.2
Win probability
Texas Tech 93%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Texas Tech home
7%Win probability93%

The model makes Texas Tech a 14.2-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UCF offense vs Texas Tech defense

UCF OStatTexas Tech D
70.6#75Tempo#20667.9
52.6#124eFG%#8049.4
16.0#143TOV%#31014.7
35.0#48ORB%#16730.1
30.5#299FT rate#9931.7
9.4#181Block%#1639.6
53.7#144Assist%#641.7
51.7#1852P%#12550.7
36.2#503P%#4231.3
72.9#173FT%—
34.8#2803PA rate#31935.0

Texas Tech offense vs UCF defense

Texas Tech OStatUCF D
67.9#206Tempo#7570.6
56.7#13eFG%#22152.1
15.8#126TOV%#24215.7
33.3#84ORB%#9728.8
27.3#350FT rate#17734.9
7.4#26Block%#2578.1
55.3#107Assist%#14651.0
54.1#832P%#23752.9
39.7#33P%#17933.9
71.2#232FT%—
47.8#263PA rate#18839.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UCF

Fri, Mar 20NUCLA18L 71–75
Thu, Mar 12NArizona5L 59–81
Wed, Mar 11NCincinnati30W 66–65
Fri, Mar 6AWest Virginia51L 62–77
Tue, Mar 3HOklahoma St.52L 104–111

Texas Tech

Sun, Mar 22NAlabama16L 65–90
Fri, Mar 20NAkron100W 91–71
Thu, Mar 12NIowa St.6L 53–75
Sat, Mar 7ABYU28L 76–82
Tue, Mar 3HTCU50L 65–73