Model line
Houston −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 89%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Houston home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Houston a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
BYU offense vs Houston defense
| BYU O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Houston offense vs BYU defense
| Houston O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
