HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Arizona St. · #68 · B12 · 0–0Cincinnati · #30 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 30 · 7:00 PM ETPeacockFifth Third Arena · Cincinnati, OH
Model line
Cincinnati −11.8
Win probability
Cincinnati 89%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
11%Win probability89%

The model makes Cincinnati a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Arizona St. offense vs Cincinnati defense

Arizona St. OStatCincinnati D
70.6#69Tempo#13069.2
51.1#188eFG%#2647.3
17.1#206TOV%#8818.2
29.8#206ORB%#4527.3
39.5#67FT rate#5830.0
9.6#194Block%#4712.1
53.0#165Assist%#23954.5
51.7#1802P%#4147.9
33.4#1983P%#3531.0
75.3#70FT%—
38.4#2013PA rate#16439.9

Cincinnati offense vs Arizona St. defense

Cincinnati OStatArizona St. D
69.2#130Tempo#6970.6
50.5#213eFG%#23452.4
17.0#198TOV%#7018.5
30.6#176ORB%#33634.9
29.4#323FT rate#15834.3
6.8#15Block%#2812.8
63.7#10Assist%#26355.4
50.2#2482P%#21352.3
33.9#1793P%#24335.0
68.1#321FT%—
43.8#943PA rate#14940.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Arizona St.

Wed, Mar 11NIowa St.6L 42–91
Tue, Mar 10NBaylor32W 83–79
Sat, Mar 7AIowa St.6L 65–86
Tue, Mar 3HKansas8W 70–60
Sat, Feb 28HUtah88W 73–60

Cincinnati

Wed, Mar 11NUCF58L 65–66
Tue, Mar 10NUtah88W 73–66
Sat, Mar 7ATCU50L 63–73
Tue, Mar 3HBYU28W 90–68
Sat, Feb 28HOklahoma St.52W 91–68