Model line
Evansville −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Evansville 54%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Evansville home
46%Win probability54%
The model makes Evansville a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Illinois offense vs Evansville defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Evansville offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
