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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Drake · #137 · MVC · 0–0Illinois Chicago · #105 · MVC · 0–0Sun, Feb 28 · 12:00 AM ETCredit Union 1 Arena · Chicago, IL
Model line
Illinois Chicago −10.9
Win probability
Illinois Chicago 87%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Illinois Chicago home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes Illinois Chicago a 10.9-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Drake offense vs Illinois Chicago defense

Drake OStatIllinois Chicago D
67.8#210Tempo#24067.1
51.4#175eFG%#12750.5
15.0#59TOV%#3119.7
26.6#308ORB%#25532.0
33.5#222FT rate#14833.9
8.6#108Block%#5711.8
51.6#198Assist%#36166.0
51.7#1822P%#13050.8
34.0#1703P%#14333.4
71.4#224FT%—
45.7#523PA rate#1946.4

Illinois Chicago offense vs Drake defense

Illinois Chicago OStatDrake D
67.1#240Tempo#21067.8
49.8#245eFG%#24452.6
17.6#246TOV%#31514.6
36.3#22ORB%#15329.9
36.2#144FT rate#10332.0
10.3#260Block%#2268.5
53.6#149Assist%#24654.8
51.0#2112P%#14651.1
31.6#3003P%#32036.4
72.5#190FT%—
32.8#3193PA rate#5643.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Drake

Sat, Mar 7NIllinois Chicago105L 51–72
Fri, Mar 6NBelmont130W 100–79
Thu, Mar 5NSouthern Illinois172W 67–63
Sun, Mar 1HNorthern Iowa129L 53–75
Wed, Feb 25AValparaiso142L 71–74

Illinois Chicago

Wed, Mar 18ACalifornia94L 73–91
Sun, Mar 8NNorthern Iowa129L 69–84
Sat, Mar 7NDrake137W 72–51
Fri, Mar 6NMurray St.97W 92–79
Sun, Mar 1AIndiana St.212L 63–79