Model line
Valparaiso −2.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 60%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Valparaiso home
40%Win probability60%
The model makes Valparaiso a 2.4-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Murray St. offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Murray St. O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#20 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 53.8#73 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 16.3#155 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 32.6#101 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 38.6#88 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 8.1#67 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 49.1#261 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 55.0#57 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 35.0#117 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 75.5#65 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#73 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs Murray St. defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Murray St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #2072.3 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #23552.4 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #23215.8 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #21531.3 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #11132.2 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #2058.9 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #1744.1 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #17851.7 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #31436.2 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #36427.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Murray St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 94–64 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Nevada77 | L 75–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 79–92 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Bradley183 | L 78–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Evansville273 | W 88–75 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
