HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Bradley · #183 · MVC · 0–0Illinois St. · #116 · MVC · 0–0Sun, Feb 28 · 12:00 AM ETCEFCU Arena · Normal, IL
Model line
Illinois St. −11.5
Win probability
Illinois St. 89%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Illinois St. home
11%Win probability89%

The model makes Illinois St. a 11.5-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Bradley offense vs Illinois St. defense

Bradley OStatIllinois St. D
67.6#216Tempo#21467.7
51.1#189eFG%#8549.6
13.9#19TOV%#20016.3
27.4#285ORB%#1025.1
35.9#152FT rate#11732.6
8.8#131Block%#3396.1
50.8#223Assist%#15951.6
49.1#2782P%#7849.5
36.1#523P%#12533.1
74.0#131FT%—
40.5#1553PA rate#32134.9

Illinois St. offense vs Bradley defense

Illinois St. OStatBradley D
67.7#214Tempo#21667.6
53.6#80eFG%#25852.8
16.5#164TOV%#4919.0
28.3#254ORB%#6027.8
31.7#261FT rate#26438.2
8.6#110Block%#1649.5
51.1#215Assist%#22454.0
54.5#722P%#15751.4
34.9#1273P%#33136.6
70.8#245FT%—
42.9#1163PA rate#16339.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Bradley

Wed, Mar 18HDayton67L 66–80
Sat, Mar 7NNorthern Iowa129L 69–73
Fri, Mar 6NValparaiso142W 90–84
Sun, Mar 1HMurray St.97W 87–78
Tue, Feb 24AIllinois Chicago105L 86–93

Illinois St.

Thu, Apr 2NAuburn27L 66–88
Wed, Mar 25ADayton67W 61–55
Sun, Mar 22AWake Forest82W 78–75
Wed, Mar 18HKent St.126W 79–58
Fri, Mar 6NNorthern Iowa129L 52–74