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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Iowa · #129 · MVC · 0–0Murray St. · #97 · MVC · 1–0Wed, Feb 24 · 8:00 PM ETCFSB Center · Murray, KY
Model line
Murray St. −11.0
Win probability
Murray St. 88%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Murray St. home
12%Win probability88%

The model makes Murray St. a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Iowa offense vs Murray St. defense

Northern Iowa OStatMurray St. D
63.4#362Tempo#2072.3
53.8#74eFG%#23552.4
14.4#39TOV%#23215.8
21.8#358ORB%#21531.3
25.6#362FT rate#11132.2
8.3#80Block%#2058.9
56.6#77Assist%#1744.1
54.9#612P%#17851.7
34.7#1393P%#31436.2
69.2#293FT%—
39.1#1893PA rate#36427.4

Murray St. offense vs Northern Iowa defense

Murray St. OStatNorthern Iowa D
72.3#20Tempo#36263.4
53.8#73eFG%#3347.5
16.3#155TOV%#9718.0
32.6#101ORB%#2526.5
38.6#88FT rate#5229.6
8.1#67Block%#1519.8
49.1#261Assist%#9249.2
55.0#572P%#10750.2
35.0#1173P%#329.1
75.5#65FT%—
44.8#733PA rate#9941.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Iowa

Fri, Mar 20NSt. John's25L 53–79
Sun, Mar 8NIllinois Chicago105W 84–69
Sat, Mar 7NBradley183W 73–69
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois St.116W 74–52
Thu, Mar 5NEvansville273W 68–59

Murray St.

Mon, Nov 2NTennessee St.204W 94–64
Wed, Mar 18ANevada77L 75–89
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois Chicago105L 79–92
Sun, Mar 1ABradley183L 78–87
Sat, Feb 21HEvansville273W 88–75