Model line
Illinois Chicago −0.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois Chicago 52%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Indiana St. home
52%Win probability48%
The model makes Illinois Chicago a 0.5-point favorite, winning about 52 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois Chicago offense vs Indiana St. defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Indiana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #18568.3 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #11050.2 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #29514.9 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #24431.8 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #3928.8 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #2528.1 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #1043.0 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #19252.0 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #4031.3 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #32934.4 |
Indiana St. offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Indiana St. O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#185 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 52.8#108 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 19.5#338 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 26.2#315 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 27.4#348 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 13.4#359 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 64.9#8 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 57.4#27 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 31.5#305 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 67.8#329 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#63 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
Indiana St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Valparaiso142 | L 62–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 79–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Southern Illinois172 | L 55–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Belmont130 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 60–81 |
