Model line
Drake −11.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 88%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Drake home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Drake a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana St. offense vs Drake defense
| Indiana St. O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#185 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 52.8#108 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 19.5#338 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 26.2#315 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 27.4#348 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 13.4#359 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 64.9#8 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 57.4#27 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 31.5#305 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 67.8#329 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#63 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Indiana St. defense
| Drake O | Stat | Indiana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #18568.3 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #11050.2 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #29514.9 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #24431.8 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #3928.8 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #2528.1 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #1043.0 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #19252.0 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #4031.3 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #32934.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Valparaiso142 | L 62–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 79–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Southern Illinois172 | L 55–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Belmont130 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 60–81 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |