Model line
Illinois Chicago −16.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois Chicago 96%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Illinois Chicago home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Illinois Chicago a 16.4-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Evansville offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Illinois Chicago offense vs Evansville defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
