Model line
Valparaiso −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Valparaiso 87%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Valparaiso home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Valparaiso a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bradley offense vs Valparaiso defense
| Bradley O | Stat | Valparaiso D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#216 | Tempo | #29366.1 |
| 51.1#189 | eFG% | #13050.5 |
| 13.9#19 | TOV% | #16316.9 |
| 27.4#285 | ORB% | #16930.1 |
| 35.9#152 | FT rate | #18235.1 |
| 8.8#131 | Block% | #14310.0 |
| 50.8#223 | Assist% | #10949.8 |
| 49.1#278 | 2P% | #19151.9 |
| 36.1#52 | 3P% | #6932.1 |
| 74.0#131 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#155 | 3PA rate | #26337.0 |
Valparaiso offense vs Bradley defense
| Valparaiso O | Stat | Bradley D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#293 | Tempo | #21667.6 |
| 47.6#325 | eFG% | #25852.8 |
| 15.7#117 | TOV% | #4919.0 |
| 32.5#109 | ORB% | #6027.8 |
| 39.1#80 | FT rate | #26438.2 |
| 8.5#106 | Block% | #1649.5 |
| 48.8#271 | Assist% | #22454.0 |
| 45.8#349 | 2P% | #15751.4 |
| 33.9#182 | 3P% | #33136.6 |
| 70.9#242 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#235 | 3PA rate | #16339.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bradley
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Dayton67 | L 66–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Valparaiso142 | W 90–84 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Murray St.97 | W 87–78 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | L 86–93 |
Valparaiso
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bradley183 | L 84–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Indiana St.212 | W 63–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Evansville273 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Drake137 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Illinois Chicago105 | W 71–67 |
