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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Southern Illinois · #172 · MVC · 0–0Murray St. · #97 · MVC · 1–0Mon, Feb 15 · 12:00 AM ETCFSB Center · Murray, KY
Model line
Murray St. −14.7
Win probability
Murray St. 94%
Projected tempo
72.8
possessions
Site
Murray St. home
6%Win probability94%

The model makes Murray St. a 14.7-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Southern Illinois offense vs Murray St. defense

Southern Illinois OStatMurray St. D
69.7#106Tempo#2072.3
49.2#285eFG%#23552.4
17.0#205TOV%#23215.8
30.9#170ORB%#21531.3
31.3#274FT rate#11132.2
8.5#104Block%#2058.9
48.6#274Assist%#1744.1
52.2#1652P%#17851.7
27.8#3633P%#31436.2
68.3#319FT%—
29.2#3553PA rate#36427.4

Murray St. offense vs Southern Illinois defense

Murray St. OStatSouthern Illinois D
72.3#20Tempo#10669.7
53.8#73eFG%#6949.0
16.3#155TOV%#7518.5
32.6#101ORB%#4727.3
38.6#88FT rate#9431.4
8.1#67Block%#13810.0
49.1#261Assist%#17352.1
55.0#572P%#16751.5
35.0#1173P%#1830.4
75.5#65FT%—
44.8#733PA rate#11141.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Southern Illinois

Thu, Mar 5NDrake137L 63–67
Sun, Mar 1AEvansville273W 81–67
Wed, Feb 25HIndiana St.212W 66–55
Sat, Feb 21ANorthern Iowa129W 59–57
Wed, Feb 18ADrake137W 66–61

Murray St.

Mon, Nov 2NTennessee St.204W 94–64
Wed, Mar 18ANevada77L 75–89
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois Chicago105L 79–92
Sun, Mar 1ABradley183L 78–87
Sat, Feb 21HEvansville273W 88–75