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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Iowa · #129 · MVC · 0–0Bradley · #183 · MVC · 0–0Mon, Feb 15 · 12:00 AM ETCarver Arena · Peoria, IL
Model line
Bradley −3.9
Win probability
Bradley 66%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Bradley home
34%Win probability66%

The model makes Bradley a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Iowa offense vs Bradley defense

Northern Iowa OStatBradley D
63.4#362Tempo#21667.6
53.8#74eFG%#25852.8
14.4#39TOV%#4919.0
21.8#358ORB%#6027.8
25.6#362FT rate#26438.2
8.3#80Block%#1649.5
56.6#77Assist%#22454.0
54.9#612P%#15751.4
34.7#1393P%#33136.6
69.2#293FT%—
39.1#1893PA rate#16339.9

Bradley offense vs Northern Iowa defense

Bradley OStatNorthern Iowa D
67.6#216Tempo#36263.4
51.1#189eFG%#3347.5
13.9#19TOV%#9718.0
27.4#285ORB%#2526.5
35.9#152FT rate#5229.6
8.8#131Block%#1519.8
50.8#223Assist%#9249.2
49.1#2782P%#10750.2
36.1#523P%#329.1
74.0#131FT%—
40.5#1553PA rate#9941.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Iowa

Fri, Mar 20NSt. John's25L 53–79
Sun, Mar 8NIllinois Chicago105W 84–69
Sat, Mar 7NBradley183W 73–69
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois St.116W 74–52
Thu, Mar 5NEvansville273W 68–59

Bradley

Wed, Mar 18HDayton67L 66–80
Sat, Mar 7NNorthern Iowa129L 69–73
Fri, Mar 6NValparaiso142W 90–84
Sun, Mar 1HMurray St.97W 87–78
Tue, Feb 24AIllinois Chicago105L 86–93