Model line
Illinois St. −5.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois St. 71%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Illinois St. home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Illinois St. a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Murray St. offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Murray St. O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#20 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 53.8#73 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 16.3#155 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 32.6#101 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 38.6#88 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 8.1#67 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 49.1#261 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 55.0#57 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 35.0#117 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 75.5#65 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#73 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Illinois St. offense vs Murray St. defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Murray St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #2072.3 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #23552.4 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #23215.8 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #21531.3 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #11132.2 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #2058.9 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #1744.1 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #17851.7 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #31436.2 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #36427.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Murray St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 94–64 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Nevada77 | L 75–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 79–92 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Bradley183 | L 78–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Evansville273 | W 88–75 |
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
