Model line
Northern Iowa −13.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Iowa 92%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Northern Iowa home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Northern Iowa a 13.2-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Indiana St. offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Indiana St. O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#185 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 52.8#108 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 19.5#338 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 26.2#315 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 27.4#348 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 13.4#359 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 64.9#8 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 57.4#27 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 31.5#305 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 67.8#329 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#63 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Northern Iowa offense vs Indiana St. defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Indiana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #18568.3 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #11050.2 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #29514.9 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #24431.8 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #3928.8 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #2528.1 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #1043.0 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #19252.0 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #4031.3 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #32934.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Indiana St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Valparaiso142 | L 62–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 79–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Southern Illinois172 | L 55–66 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Belmont130 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 60–81 |
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
