Model line
Northern Iowa −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Iowa 87%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Northern Iowa home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Northern Iowa a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Illinois offense vs Northern Iowa defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Northern Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #36263.4 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #3347.5 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #9718.0 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #2526.5 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #5229.6 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #1519.8 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #9249.2 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #10750.2 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #329.1 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #9941.8 |
Northern Iowa offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Northern Iowa O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4#362 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 53.8#74 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 14.4#39 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 21.8#358 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 25.6#362 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 8.3#80 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 56.6#77 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 54.9#61 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 34.7#139 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 69.2#293 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#189 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
Northern Iowa
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | St. John's25 | L 53–79 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Bradley183 | W 73–69 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 74–52 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Evansville273 | W 68–59 |
